MATHEMATICAL MODEL TO ESTIMATE PRODUCTION CYCLE TIME USING LINEAR REGRESSION: A CASE OF PRESS WORKING SHOP
Keywords:
Press Working, Production, Cycle Time, Linear RegressionAbstract
The objective of the present investigation is to formulate a mathematical model to estimate production cycle using linear regression for the press working operation. Thephenomenon of press working operation can be modeled with probabilistic simulation but it is unable to explain which particular input is responsible for the output. Simulation model does not take into account the human factors, workplace parameters and environmental conditions. The 33 independent variables affecting the phenomenon are identified. The variables can be classified under the category of anthropometric data of the operator, personnel factors of the operator, machine specifications, workplace parameters, specifications of the product and environmental conditions in press working shop. The response variable is cycle time required on mechanical press. The parameters which were constant during the experiment were recorded first. The field experimentation was planned to record the cycle time. The model so developed can be used to express the cycle time as a function of independent variables. The results obtained have a correlation up to 92% with experimental cycle time. The model is strong estimator to simulate the process.
References
. Biman Das and Arijit K. Sengupta, Industrial workstation design: A systematic ergonomics approach, “Applied Ergonomics”, Volume 27, No. 3, pp 157-163, 1996.
. A. R. Ismail, M. H. M. Haniff, B. Kim, B. M. Deros and N. K. Makhtar, A survey on environmental factors and job satisfaction among operators in automotive industry, “American Journal of Applied Sciences”, 7 (4): 556-561, 2010.
. K. N. Dewangan, G.V. Prasanna Kumar, V. K. Tewari , Noise characteristics of tractors and health effect on farmers, “Applied Acoustics”, 66 , 1049–1062, 2005.
. Rafael Schouwenaars, Paul Van Houtte, Albert Van Bael, Jan Winters And Koen Mols, Analysis and prediction of the earing behaviour of low carbon steel sheet. “Textures and Microstructures”, Vol. 26-27, pp. 553-570, 1996.
. Banks, J.J., S. Carson, and B. L. Nelson. 1996. Discrete event system simulation. 2d ed. Upper saddle river, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.
. H. Schenck Jr., Theories of Engineering Experimentation, Mc-Graw Hill, Inc, First Edition, 1967.
. Anu Maria, Introduction to Modeling and Simulation, “Proceedings of the 1997 Winter Simulation Conference”, S. Andradóttir, K. J. Healy, D. H. Withers, and B. L. Nelson.
. Seber, G. A. F., & Lee, A. J. (2003). Linear regression analysis. Wiley-Interscience
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2019 M. M. Gupta , V.S. Deshpande, J.P. Modak , D.R. Zanwar, S.G. Chilbule (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.